Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Bitcoin continues to struggle below the $70,000 threshold, reflecting persistent market pressure after weeks of volatility and weak recovery attempts. Despite occasional rebounds from the $60,000 region, upside momentum remains limited, suggesting that demand has yet to return in a meaningful way. Market sentiment has shifted toward caution, with traders increasingly focused on downside risk rather than breakout potential. Recent on-chain analysis from Darkfost indicates that realized losses are still dominating market activity. This imbalance implies that a large portion of investors entered positions near recent highs and are now exiting at a loss. Such behavior typically emerges during late-stage corrections, when conviction weakens, and participants prioritize capital preservation over long-term positioning. Notably, some digital asset treasuries and large investors who accumulated Bitcoin at significantly higher levels are also reducing exposure . While this does not necessarily indicate structural capitulation, it reinforces the perception that confidence remains fragile. Historically, phases where realized losses outweigh profits often coincide with transitional market periods, either preceding deeper corrections or setting the stage for eventual accumulation. Realized Losses Signal Ongoing Market Stress On-chain analysis shared by Darkfost highlights a notable deterioration in Bitcoin’s profit-to-loss dynamics. The realized profit-to-loss ratio currently stands near 0.25, meaning that for every $1 of profit realized on-chain, roughly $4 in losses are being locked in. Such a skewed balance reflects a market still processing recent drawdowns, where a significant portion of participants are exiting underwater positions rather than securing gains. Bitcoin Daily Realized Profit Loss Ratio | Source: CryptoQuant The seven-day moving average of this ratio is now approaching levels typically associated with bear market conditions. This shift suggests that short-term sentiment remains fragile and that selling pressure continues to dominate recent transaction flows. For context, the annual average ratio sits around 6.33, indicating that, over longer horizons, profit realization still outweighs losses due to the inertia embedded in yearly data. Importantly, realized profits have recently begun to slightly exceed losses after several weeks of persistent deficit, hinting at tentative stabilization rather than confirmed recovery. Historically, periods characterized by panic selling or capitulation can extend for months, particularly during broader bearish phases. For a durable recovery to emerge, this ongoing purge of weaker hands must likely conclude, allowing unrealized profits to rebuild and restore investor confidence. Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers. Sign Up for Our Newsletter! For updates and exclusive offers enter your email. Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.